Another Covid Surge may be coming. Are we ready for it?

In the nearly two months since the Omicron model drove the coronavirus population to a critical level in the United States, scientists and health professionals are advocating further support for infectious diseases and, with it, experiments the first of a community plan of living with this virus. limiting its effects.

At the local, state and federal levels, the country has been resting on its laurels and trying to restore normalcy. Encouraging Americans to return to disease control, officials are raising coverage and antitrust laws that do not reflect the desire to close down businesses, restaurants or theaters.

But scientists warn the United States is not doing enough to prevent new surgery from endangering vulnerable Americans and potentially promoting another life.

New drugs can cure disease, but the federal government’s efforts to buy many of them are not very effective. An aid package in Congress was scrapped, even as the company spent money on tests and treatments. Although less than a third of the population has a boost bell necessary for high security, the number of daily vaccinations has dropped.

While some Americans may not be able to turn their sleeves around, experts say health professionals may be doing a lot of things, for example, to get encouragement at the door that seniors have shown they are. ready to take the first dose.

“You spend a lot of quiet time working hard,” said Jennifer Nuzzo, an infectious disease specialist at Johns Hopkins University. “You don’t quietly forget.”

The clearest warning that a short period of calm could come soon, as they have usually in the last two years, comes from Western Europe. In many countries, including Britain, France and Germany, the number of cases of Omicron, known as BA.2, is on the rise.

In an interview, 10 pathologists and epidemiologists said that many of the same factors are likely to happen in the United States, although it is not yet known whether or not when waves can fall or how hard it can be.

The number of cases is still declining in the country, but BA.2 reports an increasing number of cases, rising to almost a quarter of new cases in the country. last week. This subvariant is thought to be 30 to 50 percent more contagious than the previous Omicron model, BA.1.

In New York City, daily court cases have risen by about 40 percent in the past two weeks, although they are still low compared to recent months. In Connecticut, scientists estimate that the incidence of BA.2 disease increases seven or eight times daily – half of Omicron growth this winter, but also faster than 11 days of Delta. variant twice before that.

“I expect to see waves in the US sooner than most people expect,” says Kristian Andersen, a vascular scientist at the Scripps Research Institute in La Jolla, Calif. He said it could come as soon as April, or maybe. later in the spring or summer.

Given that some unlikely cases get worse, Drs. Andersen said, “Yes, such a wave would accompany a rising hospital in mortality.”

Some experts warn, however, that BA.2 has not yet promoted the number of cases in any country it refers to. In the best case scenario, they said, even if the American population starts to rise, Omicron’s first hurricane this winter could help protect itself from a major hospital admission. In transition to external associations can trigger an increase in population.

Currently, there are fewer Covid patients in the health care sector than ever before in this disease. This vaccine appears to be protective against BA.2 as they did against the previous Omicron strain, according to British data, and BA.2 does not seem to cause any disease or malignancy.

In an effort to predict the future, American health officials and scientists have debated the combination of factors that have contributed to the rise in Europe and the extent of the storm.

Subvariant BA.2 began its journey across Europe at a time when countries were raising barriers and barriers, which could give it another impetus for its expansion. Some scientists in Britain have also reported that the growth of the country is partly due to the fact that the barrier decreases over time as a result of vaccination or early disease.

In some parts of Europe, such as Denmark and the Netherlands, the peak of BA.2 waves has already passed. In other countries, where the number of cases has risen since the beginning of March, hospital admissions are still low or slightly higher.

But Britain has emerged as a more serious example of the possibility of surgery in a BA.2 case to begin filling the hospital bed too. Seventy people in England have contracted the disease at a record level, health officials said, estimating that about one in 30 people in that year had Covid in the week before March 12.

As a result, the number of Covid patients in the hospital has risen by about 35 percent in recent weeks, despite the fact that about half of those who tested positive suddenly after admission afterwards. To improve safety, Britain plans to start giving the elderly a fourth dose later this month.

And in the United States, scientists are concerned that many people have gone for more than six months since the last treatment they received, reducing the level of resistance. It is unclear, however, whether restoring Covid to the United States would help light a fire to the same extent as it might have in some European countries. Parts of the United States have not had a good barrier for a few months.

David Dowdy, an infectious disease specialist at Johns Hopkins University, said, “There are a lot of moving parts.” anywhere. “

Less than half of Americans who received the first dose have been encouraged, putting the United States in even more serious danger. Despite the small number of cases, nearly 1,200 Americans die every day from Covid – numbers higher than in Western Europewhile the elderly often receive high doses of antibiotics and stimulants.

Over time, two therapies have been less effective in preventing Omicron-related illnesses, British plans suggest, while enhancing drugs restore safety at a higher level.

Adding to the alarm in the United States, this week, several water testing sites have shown a dramatic increase in bacterial levels at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

But scientists say it is difficult to detect changes when bacterial levels are low and that the picture of the reality is shocking: Some sewers in states like Massachusetts, Connecticut and Ohio has discovered a growing virus, while many others have not.

Whatever the future holds, scientists say now is the time to vaccinate more people, while the country still has issues of any kind in the coming waves.

Sam Scarpino, managing director of pathogen surveillance at the Rockefeller Foundation, said, “We should keep reading about how the federal government is using its resources to move the nursing home into a nursing home, church to church, to raise the growing population. “

But the federal government warns that funding for infectious diseases is dwindling. Republican lawmakers have said they will not accept $ 15 billion in new coronavirus aid without removing it by cutting budgets elsewhere. Democrats in Housell have approved a plan to reimburse the state government for spending on their disease response.

With the relief package already in place, federal officials say they will need to start cutting shipments of monoclonal vaccines in the state next week by more than 30 per cent. The government has received 20 million antibiotics. , but kept the rules for others. By June, officials said, efforts by the federal government to ensure that companies conducting full-fledged experiments were depleted, undermining capacity for this year.

There is not enough money to promise to buy different high-end brands if they are needed, federal officials said. While the shortages will affect all Americans, uninsured people will face serious risks because of federal programs to pay providers for testing, treatment and immunizations. the uninsured can stop in early April.

Anne Rimoin, an infectious disease specialist at UCLA, said, “There are many things we can do, but the United States has chosen time and time again to respond, rather than to be active. , and that cost us a lot. ” wearing a rose mirror instead of improving our vision. ”

The important question remains of protecting those with a previous Omicron model can it be reliable – as well as long-term. A lab analysis published this week found that those vaccinated who were carrying Omicron had a high level of immunity that could protect BA.2. If the protection is maintained, it could reduce the impact of any waves, due to the severe disease the country has this winter.

“I think it’s reassuring,” said Dr. Dan Barouch, a virologist at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center in Boston and author of the study said.

But some scientists say they are worried that the safety nets developed during the first Omicron surgery will be reduced, leaving them more susceptible to BA.2.

Nathan Grubaugh, an infectious disease specialist at Yale School of Public Health, said, “The emergence period of BA.2, as well as the ability to reduce resistance by BA.1 waves with a protective effect, not good.”

Even health experts, who say they have become accustomed to the scourge of infectious disease, say they are surprised the money supply is depleted soon after the country’s announcement. plans for innovation.

They said the money was needed to avoid a complete closure, rather than finding a full-time surgery and medical staff could support masks or increase testing in one area and help hospitals prepare.

“People literally, logically want to get back to their normal lives,” said Jeffrey Shaman, an infectious disease specialist at Columbia University. “The question, then, is how quickly will we be able to answer it?”

Another Covid Surge may be coming. Are we ready for it?

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